基于不完全信息演化博弈模型的网络舆情传播羊群行为

以网络舆情传播过程中大部分人对事实不了解为前提,在这部分群体内构建基于不完全信息环境的两人对称演化博弈模型。提出了两人对称博弈矩阵来决定个体策略的选择,建立了复制动态方程说明不同策略群体比例的演化方向,演化时引入个体的记忆长度,根据设定的交互规则更新各自的观点值及记忆列表。仿真分析模型表明,在此环境中很容易产生羊群行为,群体内的个体都选择盲从并且观点保持一致。此外,羊群行为的集聚产生受多种因素影响,主要与采取分析策略的交互利益、成本系数以及记忆长度有关。本文对科学分析引导网络舆情的传播有一定实际意义。     

几类特殊多叶函数的极值点和支撑点

设S(p,α)、C(p,α)及K(p,α)分别表示α阶的p 叶星像、凸像和近于凸函数族。本文对这些函数族的支撑点和S(p,α)的从属函数族的极值点和支撑点进行了研究,推广了Grassmann 和Perera 等人的结果。     

反临近空间高超声速目标拦截弹中末制导交接班窗口

在视线旋转坐标系下建立拦截弹与目标的相对运动方程,分析采用纯比例导引律捕获高超声速目标的充分条件,并推导出在交接班处的最优拦截几何,即零控拦截流型。定性分析了拦截弹速度、高度、导引头特性以及末制导捕获条件等在中末制导交接班时所受到的限制,在此基础上定义了中末制导交接班窗口的概念,并介绍了交接班捕获窗口的影响因素、用途、特性以及计算步骤。以纯比例导引律拦截高速目标为例,定量描述了交接班捕获窗口和零控交接班区域,并通过数字仿真实验验证了交接班捕获窗口的合理性。     

On the median residual lifetime and its aging properties: A characterization theorem and applications

This paper is devoted to study several aspects of the median residual life function (MERLF). In reliability studies, it is well known that, although the MERLF have several advantages over the mean residual life function (MRLF), the MRLF has the good property of uniquely determine a life distribution whereas either the median residual life function (MERLF) or an α‐percentile residual life do not have such good property. We shall give a characterization result where knowledge of both the MERLF and the survival function on an interval does uniquely determine the distribution. Moreover, in order to apply this characterization in practical situations, we propose a method to estimate the necessary information of the survival function. Relationships between analytical properties of the survival function and its associated MERLF are also obtained. Bryson and Siddiqui [J Am Statist Assoc 64 (1969), 1472–1483] proved relationships among seven criteria for aging, out of which two contained the MRLF (decreasing MRLF and net decreasing MRLF). In this paper, we prove that the same pattern of relationships holds if the MRLF is replaced by the MERLF. We also examine the aging criteria corresponding to an increasing MERLF and show that there is no relation between the behavior (increasing or decreasing) of the MERLF and of the MRLF. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

简析政府职能转变之明确性原则——以消防法律文本为视域

政府职能转变是一项浩大、复杂的系统工程,不仅需要正确的方向,也更需要科学的方法.其中,明确性就是一个必须遵守的原则.审视政府消防管理职能50年的文本变迁,对政府职能转变与明确性原则关系进行了现实考察,进而分析明确性原则与政府职能转变关系进路.     

Police Corruption: Towards a Working Definition

According to the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) publication Interpretive Guidance on the Notion of Direct Participation in Hostilities under International Humanitarian Law, all civilians (including child soldiers) lose their immunity from direct targeting ‘for so long as’ their actions amount to direct participation in hostilities. All civilians can, however, access the revolving door of protection and return to their civilian activities – complete with full immunity from direct targeting – provided the nature of their direct participation was spontaneous and disorganised. Once it can be ascertained that their participation in hostilities amounts to continuous combative functions, they relinquish their access to the revolving door of protection, and can be targeted at all times until they abandon their formal or functional membership of the belligerent group. This piece analyses how the revolving door phenomenon and the notion of continuous combative functions apply in instances where civilian child soldiers are directly participating in hostilities.     

非常余维数的未定向协边子群

本文在如下情况:(1)取定P(1≤P≤8),设K_i=8l_i P(i=1,…,l),k_2>9/4(k_1-1)>O;(2)取定整数q(l≤q≤4)式,设k_1=4t_1 q(i=1,…,l),k_2>5/2(k_1-1)>0满足时,决定了一些非常非常余维数的未定向协边子群J_n~(k_1…k_l).     

关于Tu-Deng函数的一个注记

2009年,Tu和Deng在一个组合猜想成立的基础上,构造了同时具有最优代数免疫性、最优代数次数和高非线性度的一类偶数元布尔函数.这类函数被称为Tu-Deng函数.基于同一猜想,Tu和Deng又构造了同时具有次最优代数免疫性、最优代数次数和较高非线性度的一类偶数元的l -阶弹性函数.通过研究由Tu-Deng函数导出的两个布尔函数的级联的密码学性质,在Tu-Deng猜想成立的基础上,给出一类奇数元的1 -阶弹性布尔函数.这类函数同时具有次最优代数免疫性、最优代数次数和较高非线性度.     

引入权重因子的证据合成方法

D-S理论是一种有效的不确定性推理方法,但在证据完全冲突或冲突较大时,D-S证据合成公式失效.Yager等学者对此作了改进,但是改进后合成公式又存在着新的问题.考虑到证据在合成过程中的重要程度不同,将权重因子引入到合成公式中,通过权重因子的作用和冲突概率的重新分配,提出了引入权重因子的D-S证据合成方法,新的合成公式提高了证据合成的可靠性和合理性,可得到更为理想的合成结果.     

一种应用于超视距目标指示的误差分析方法

导弹超视距攻击的目标指示信息的误差会直接影响导弹攻击的准确度。为了实时并准确地计算出超视距目标指示信息的误差大小,分析了使用中继法进行超视距目标指示的过程,提出了一种基于坐标投影以及坐标旋转的误差分析方法。根据仿真计算,与传统的误差分析方法——蒙特卡罗法——进行比较,说明了所提出方法准确性高、计算速度快的优点。